Olympia Warriors vs Launceston City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.8%
Win probability
2.89
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.5%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.6%
9.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olympia Warriors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
OLY
1 - 2
CZF
65%
18%
17%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
KIN
3 - 2
OLY
17%
17%
66%
|
22 | 13 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
OLY
0 - 3
GLE
63%
18%
19%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
LAU
0 - 4
OLY
7%
12%
81%
|
22 | 9 | 13 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
OLY
1 - 2
DEV
22%
19%
59%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | -2 |
Matches
Launceston City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
CZF
2 - 0
LAU
82%
11%
7%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
DEV
1 - 0
LAU
89%
8%
3%
|
9 | 35 | 26 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
LAU
0 - 4
OLY
7%
12%
81%
|
9 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
ROF
1 - 3
LAU
43%
21%
36%
|
8 | 8 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
LAU
1 - 3
GLE
8%
14%
78%
|
9 | 19 | 10 | -1 |