Serie D Group A Round 37

Oltrepo FBC vs Derthona analysis

Oltrepo FBC Derthona
38 ELO 44
-5.1% Tilt -3.3%
8264º General ELO ranking 6522º
310º Country ELO ranking 246º
ELO win probability
38.3%
Oltrepo FBC
25.8%
Draw
36%
Derthona

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.3%
Win probability
Oltrepo FBC
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
35.9%
Win probability
Derthona
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Oltrepo FBC
+36%
-15%
Derthona

Points and table prediction

Oltrepo FBC
Their league position
Derthona
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
13º
20º
13º
44
15º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
AS Bra
78
82
100%
NovaRomentin
71
75
99%
Gozzano
65
69
29.5%
Vado FC
65
69
26%
Lavagnese
64
68
28.5%
Città di Varese
62
66
59%
Ligorna
58
62
89.5%
Chisola Calcio
50
54
48%
Saluzzo
50
54
45.5%
ASD Asti
11º
45
49
10º
33%
Sanremese
10º
45
49
11º
30%
Derthona
12º
44
48
12º
36.5%
Oltrepo FBC
13º
40
43
13º
47%
Imperia
14º
38
41
14º
30%
Voghera
15º
37
41
15º
32.5%
US Cairese
16º
37
40
16º
37%
Albenga
20º
0
35
17º
17.5%
Chieri
17º
31
34
18º
42%
Borgaro Nobis
18º
28
31
19º
45%
Fossano Calcio
19º
26
29
20º
61%
Expected probabilities
Oltrepo FBC
Derthona
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
88% 100%
Relegation play-offs
12% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Oltrepo FBC
Derthona
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Oltrepo FBC
Oltrepo FBC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Apr. 2025
OLT
Oltrepo FBC
1 - 0
Vado FC
VFC
29%
27%
44%
37 54 17 0
13 Apr. 2025
ACS
Saluzzo
0 - 2
Oltrepo FBC
OLT
55%
22%
24%
35 43 8 +2
30 Mar. 2025
AST
ASD Asti
0 - 1
Oltrepo FBC
OLT
53%
22%
25%
33 42 9 +2
23 Mar. 2025
OLT
Oltrepo FBC
2 - 1
US Cairese
CAI
46%
22%
32%
32 33 1 +1
09 Mar. 2025
FOS
Fossano Calcio
2 - 1
Oltrepo FBC
OLT
37%
22%
41%
33 29 4 -1

Matches

Derthona
Derthona
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Apr. 2025
DER
Derthona
1 - 1
Saluzzo
ACS
49%
27%
25%
44 42 2 0
13 Apr. 2025
FOS
Fossano Calcio
1 - 2
Derthona
DER
20%
22%
58%
43 29 14 +1
06 Apr. 2025
DER
Derthona
0 - 1
ASD Asti
AST
48%
26%
25%
44 41 3 -1
30 Mar. 2025
SAN
Sanremese
0 - 1
Derthona
DER
37%
29%
35%
42 44 2 +2
23 Mar. 2025
DER
Derthona
0 - 1
Borgaro Nobis
BOR
69%
17%
13%
43 26 17 -1