Gibraleón vs Punta Umbria analysis

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

18.1%
Win probability

                        
                    
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.6%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.9%

21.3%

Draw

0-0

5.1%

1-1

10%

2-2

4.9%

3-3

1.1%

4-4

0.1%

5-5

<0%

0

21.3%

60.6%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
24%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Gibraleón

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO
08 Mar. 2020	ATL 6 - 0 OCF 60% 21% 20%	7	11	4
01 Mar. 2020	OCF 0 - 3 CAN 23% 22% 55%	7	11	4
23 Feb. 2020	RIO 0 - 0 OCF 55% 21% 24%	7	9	2
16 Feb. 2020	OCF 0 - 1 CAM 7% 17% 76%	7	19	12
09 Feb. 2020	ROC 6 - 1 OCF 72% 16% 12%	7	12	5

Matches

Punta Umbria

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
08 Mar. 2020	PUM 0 - 1 ADA 72% 16% 12%	14	8	6	0
01 Mar. 2020	PUM 0 - 3 BOL 16% 19% 66%	14	22	8	0
23 Feb. 2020	CDP 1 - 1 PUM 53% 22% 26%	14	16	2	0
16 Feb. 2020	PUM 2 - 0 LOS 46% 23% 32%	13	14	1	+1
09 Feb. 2020	CDF 2 - 2 PUM 39% 23% 38%	13	12	1	0