Oliveira vs Caselas B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.1%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
32.6%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oliveira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
OLI
1 - 3
CFG
36%
21%
42%
|
5 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
CAS
2 - 1
OLI
54%
19%
26%
|
5 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
OLI
0 - 1
VIL
40%
21%
39%
|
5 | 6 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
SAN
3 - 0
OLI
70%
16%
14%
|
5 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2017 |
OLI
0 - 5
COV
48%
21%
31%
|
5 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Caselas B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
VIL
1 - 0
CAS
46%
23%
31%
|
6 | 6 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
CAS
2 - 4
SAN
29%
23%
48%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
COV
4 - 2
CAS
42%
21%
37%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
CAS
3 - 2
SAL
29%
21%
49%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
RIV
1 - 1
CAS
71%
16%
13%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |