Oliveira Hospital vs Benfica Castelo Branco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
38.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oliveira Hospital
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
ADN
1 - 0
OLI
25%
26%
49%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
OLI
1 - 1
TOR
50%
26%
24%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
OLE
1 - 1
OLI
34%
26%
40%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
OLI
0 - 1
CAL
60%
23%
17%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
VIL
2 - 0
OLI
56%
24%
21%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Benfica Castelo Branco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
BEN
1 - 0
LOU
61%
22%
17%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
BEN
3 - 0
MAC
89%
8%
3%
|
45 | 18 | 27 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
ADN
0 - 1
BEN
29%
28%
44%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
BEN
1 - 1
PEN
78%
15%
7%
|
44 | 26 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
OLE
1 - 1
BEN
34%
28%
39%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |