Oliveira Hospital vs Fontinhas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.2%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
32.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
4º
11º
7º
22
3º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 34 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 31 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 26 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 20 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oliveira Hospital
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
ACA
1 - 0
OLI
57%
23%
20%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2023 |
SCP
2 - 1
OLI
53%
24%
23%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
OLI
1 - 1
ALV
28%
26%
46%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
UDL
2 - 1
OLI
68%
20%
12%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
OLI
3 - 1
VST
29%
25%
47%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Fontinhas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
GDF
2 - 0
SCP
36%
26%
39%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2023 |
UDL
1 - 2
GDF
74%
18%
8%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
GDF
0 - 1
AMO
28%
27%
46%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
BEL
6 - 0
GDF
78%
15%
7%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
GDF
0 - 1
REA
56%
22%
23%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -1 |