Olimpija Ljubljana vs Maribor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.1%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
31.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
64
2º
7º
3º
67
1º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
64 | 64 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpija Ljubljana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
DOM
1 - 3
OLI
38%
25%
37%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2024 |
OLI
2 - 2
RAD
59%
23%
18%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
ROG
2 - 3
OLI
28%
26%
46%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
OLI
3 - 2
FCK
43%
26%
32%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
BRA
1 - 1
OLI
34%
27%
39%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Maribor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
BRA
1 - 1
MAR
32%
28%
40%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2024 |
MAR
5 - 0
NSM
49%
25%
26%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
ALU
0 - 2
MAR
24%
26%
50%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 0
RAD
60%
22%
18%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
MAR
3 - 1
FCK
48%
25%
28%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |