NK Olimpija Ljubljana vs ND Gorica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.7%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.2%
10.1%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
73
1º
2º
1º
27
3º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 52 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NK Olimpija Ljubljana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 0
OLI
43%
26%
32%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
OLI
2 - 1
BRA
60%
24%
16%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
OLI
1 - 0
DEK
86%
11%
3%
|
76 | 46 | 30 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2023 |
RAK
3 - 3
OLI
53%
23%
24%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
TAS
0 - 8
OLI
17%
24%
59%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
ND Gorica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
GOR
2 - 2
FCK
15%
25%
60%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
GOR
1 - 1
RAD
32%
27%
42%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
GOR
1 - 0
ALU
37%
25%
38%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
GOR
1 - 0
NKP
59%
23%
18%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
GOR
3 - 0
RYV
40%
24%
36%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |