Olímpico do Montijo vs Legia Warszawa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5.7%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.9%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
1.5%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
4.6%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.7%
79.6%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
16.7%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23.5%
0-3
13%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
16.8%
0-4
7.5%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
9.3%
0-5
3.5%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0%
-5
4.2%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olímpico do Montijo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
ARM
2 - 4
OLI
60%
22%
18%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
OLI
2 - 2
SAC
28%
27%
45%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
ORI
1 - 0
OLI
71%
18%
11%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
OLI
0 - 2
PRA
16%
21%
63%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
ANG
1 - 1
OLI
52%
21%
27%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Legia Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2018 |
ZAG
2 - 3
WAR
20%
24%
56%
|
81 | 60 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
WAR
2 - 0
PGL
58%
23%
19%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
GDA
0 - 0
WAR
39%
25%
36%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2018 |
CHR
0 - 3
WAR
11%
18%
72%
|
81 | 53 | 28 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
WAR
3 - 0
KOR
64%
21%
15%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | +1 |