Ol. Valverdeña vs Gibraleón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.5%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
15%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ol. Valverdeña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
SRQ
0 - 1
OVA
60%
22%
18%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
OVA
0 - 1
THA
69%
19%
12%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
RIO
1 - 2
OVA
21%
24%
55%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
OVA
2 - 0
ALM
49%
24%
27%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
ATC
1 - 2
OVA
34%
25%
41%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Gibraleón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
OCF
1 - 0
ALM
29%
25%
46%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
ATC
2 - 0
OCF
52%
23%
25%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
OCF
2 - 0
CDP
54%
23%
23%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
AYA
3 - 1
OCF
70%
19%
11%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
OCF
1 - 3
HIN
37%
25%
38%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | -1 |