Olimpia vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.6%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
10.8%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
OLI
0 - 0
RPA
79%
14%
7%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2019 |
GOD
0 - 0
OLI
34%
26%
40%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
GEN
0 - 2
OLI
14%
21%
65%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2019 |
OLI
3 - 0
DEP
77%
15%
8%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
LIB
2 - 3
OLI
34%
25%
41%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
PAL
4 - 1
UCO
45%
26%
29%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2019 |
UCO
5 - 4
SPC
29%
24%
47%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
COL
1 - 0
UCO
56%
24%
20%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
UCO
0 - 0
EVE
45%
27%
28%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
UNI
1 - 0
UCO
42%
25%
33%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | +1 |