Olimpia vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
29.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 2020 |
GUA
2 - 2
OLI
31%
24%
46%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2020 |
AME
2 - 4
OLI
14%
20%
66%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
CCP
1 - 1
OLI
35%
24%
41%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
LIB
2 - 1
OLI
31%
24%
45%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
OLI
4 - 2
GEN
85%
11%
4%
|
85 | 57 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Dec. 2020 |
LIB
1 - 3
GUA
50%
25%
26%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
LIB
2 - 1
OLI
31%
24%
45%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2020 |
PAL
3 - 0
LIB
65%
20%
16%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
LIB
1 - 1
GUA
51%
24%
25%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2020 |
LIB
1 - 1
PAL
27%
27%
46%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |