Olimpia vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.4%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
13.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2020 |
SPO
2 - 2
OLI
6%
15%
79%
|
86 | 62 | 24 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2020 |
OLI
2 - 1
LIB
58%
22%
21%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2020 |
GEN
1 - 3
OLI
7%
16%
77%
|
86 | 63 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2020 |
GUA
0 - 1
OLI
15%
20%
64%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2020 |
OLI
4 - 0
AME
79%
14%
7%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2020 |
GUA
2 - 2
12O
80%
15%
6%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2020 |
CCP
1 - 0
GUA
53%
23%
25%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2020 |
SPO
1 - 1
GUA
18%
23%
59%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2020 |
GUA
3 - 0
RPA
71%
19%
10%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2020 |
LIB
1 - 3
GUA
55%
23%
22%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | +1 |