Olimpia vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.7%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
13%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2019 |
RPA
2 - 2
OLI
9%
17%
74%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2019 |
OLI
0 - 1
SPC
67%
18%
15%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2019 |
OLI
4 - 1
GEN
85%
11%
4%
|
86 | 63 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
SAN
0 - 6
OLI
10%
19%
71%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2019 |
DEP
2 - 2
OLI
10%
18%
72%
|
86 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2019 |
GUA
3 - 1
AME
54%
23%
23%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2019 |
RPA
0 - 1
GUA
25%
25%
49%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2019 |
GUA
1 - 0
CAL
51%
25%
25%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2019 |
GUA
0 - 0
SAN
67%
20%
12%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
GEN
1 - 1
GUA
21%
24%
54%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |