Olimpia vs Cerro Porteño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.9%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
25.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
RES
2 - 1
OLI
28%
25%
48%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
AME
0 - 1
OLI
30%
25%
45%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2022 |
OLI
0 - 2
AME
77%
15%
7%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2022 |
OLI
2 - 0
FLU
38%
26%
36%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
CCP
0 - 2
OLI
36%
26%
39%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
CCP
2 - 0
12O
59%
24%
17%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
RES
0 - 3
CCP
32%
26%
42%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
CCP
0 - 2
OLI
36%
26%
39%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
CCP
4 - 0
AME
44%
26%
30%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
GUA
0 - 2
CCP
26%
27%
47%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |