Olimpia vs Cerro Porteño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.1%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
29.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
GUA
3 - 0
OLI
51%
23%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2017 |
OLI
2 - 2
AME
60%
22%
18%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2017 |
OLI
3 - 2
LQE
56%
23%
21%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2017 |
RÑU
0 - 0
OLI
24%
26%
51%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
OLI
2 - 0
NAC
56%
23%
21%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
CCP
2 - 0
DEP
52%
24%
24%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
LIB
2 - 3
CCP
41%
27%
32%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2017 |
CCP
1 - 0
IND
66%
20%
14%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
SPT
0 - 1
CCP
24%
25%
51%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
CCP
2 - 1
GEN
61%
22%
16%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | +1 |