Carabao Cup 1/16

Oldham Athletic AFC vs Scarborough analysis

Oldham Athletic AFC Scarborough
69 ELO 54
27% Tilt 7.6%
3840º General ELO ranking 20146º
99º Country ELO ranking 930º
ELO win probability
83.4%
Oldham Athletic AFC
11.2%
Draw
5.4%
Scarborough

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.4%
Win probability
Oldham Athletic AFC
2.92
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.2%
5-0
5%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.8%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.4%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.5%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
11.2%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.2%
5.4%
Win probability
Scarborough
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO progression

Oldham Athletic AFC
Scarborough
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Oldham Athletic AFC
Oldham Athletic AFC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Oct. 1989
OLD
Oldham Athletic AFC
2 - 0
Middlesbrough
MID
64%
21%
15%
68 68 0 0
17 Oct. 1989
HUL
Hull City
0 - 0
Oldham Athletic AFC
OLD
33%
28%
39%
68 58 10 0
14 Oct. 1989
BOU
AFC Bournemouth
2 - 0
Oldham Athletic AFC
OLD
42%
27%
31%
69 63 6 -1
07 Oct. 1989
OLD
Oldham Athletic AFC
2 - 0
Barnsley
BAR
62%
20%
18%
68 67 1 +1
03 Oct. 1989
LEE
Leeds United
1 - 2
Oldham Athletic AFC
OLD
57%
21%
22%
67 69 2 +1

Matches

Scarborough
Scarborough
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Oct. 1989
SCA
Scarborough
3 - 2
Chelsea
CHL
12%
16%
72%
53 80 27 0
19 Sep. 1989
CHL
Chelsea
1 - 1
Scarborough
SCA
91%
7%
2%
53 80 27 0
29 Aug. 1989
SCU
Scunthorpe United
1 - 1
Scarborough
SCA
63%
19%
18%
53 59 6 0
23 Aug. 1989
SCA
Scarborough
2 - 0
Scunthorpe United
SCU
49%
23%
28%
51 60 9 +2
22 Nov. 1988
SOU
Southampton
1 - 0
Scarborough
SCA
92%
6%
2%
51 83 32 0