Premier League Round 34

Oldham Athletic AFC vs Notts County analysis

Oldham Athletic AFC Notts County
76 ELO 74
37.7% Tilt 0.9%
3840º General ELO ranking 2585º
99º Country ELO ranking 67º
ELO win probability
65%
Oldham Athletic AFC
20%
Draw
15%
Notts County

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.9%
Win probability
Oldham Athletic AFC
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
15%
Win probability
Notts County
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Oldham Athletic AFC
+13%
-19%
Notts County

ELO progression

Oldham Athletic AFC
Notts County
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Oldham Athletic AFC
Oldham Athletic AFC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Mar. 1992
ARS
Arsenal
2 - 1
Oldham Athletic AFC
OLD
74%
17%
9%
76 88 12 0
07 Mar. 1992
EVE
Everton
2 - 1
Oldham Athletic AFC
OLD
65%
22%
13%
76 85 9 0
29 Feb. 1992
OLD
Oldham Athletic AFC
0 - 1
Wimbledon FC
WIM
51%
25%
25%
76 83 7 0
22 Feb. 1992
ASV
Aston Villa
1 - 0
Oldham Athletic AFC
OLD
63%
22%
15%
77 83 6 -1
15 Feb. 1992
OLD
Oldham Athletic AFC
2 - 1
Queens Park Rangers
QPR
54%
24%
21%
76 82 6 +1

Matches

Notts County
Notts County
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Mar. 1992
NOT
Notts County
0 - 0
Aston Villa
ASV
40%
28%
32%
74 82 8 0
07 Mar. 1992
WIM
Wimbledon FC
2 - 0
Notts County
NOT
68%
21%
12%
74 84 10 0
25 Feb. 1992
NOT
Notts County
1 - 1
Wimbledon FC
WIM
39%
29%
33%
74 83 9 0
22 Feb. 1992
QPR
Queens Park Rangers
1 - 1
Notts County
NOT
62%
23%
15%
74 81 7 0
15 Feb. 1992
NOR
Norwich City
3 - 0
Notts County
NOT
66%
19%
15%
75 82 7 -1