Oldham Athletic AFC vs Newport County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
39.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2021 |
OLD
2 - 1
CRE
27%
22%
50%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
OLD
0 - 2
BUR
11%
20%
70%
|
52 | 82 | 30 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
AFC
1 - 1
OLD
8%
13%
80%
|
52 | 23 | 29 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
OLD
1 - 2
WIG
33%
23%
43%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2021 |
STA
0 - 2
OLD
11%
16%
73%
|
52 | 27 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Newport County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
CAR
2 - 0
NEW
73%
17%
10%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2021 |
CHI
1 - 2
NEW
10%
17%
72%
|
58 | 36 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2021 |
LLA
5 - 0
NEW
10%
17%
73%
|
59 | 34 | 25 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2021 |
MOR
1 - 0
NEW
43%
24%
33%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
FOR
4 - 3
NEW
28%
24%
48%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | -1 |