League One Round 37

Oldham Athletic AFC vs Colchester United analysis

Oldham Athletic AFC Colchester United
62 ELO 54
5.3% Tilt -0.5%
3861º General ELO ranking 2744º
100º Country ELO ranking 73º
ELO win probability
59.4%
Oldham Athletic AFC
21.8%
Draw
18.8%
Colchester United

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.4%
Win probability
Oldham Athletic AFC
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
18.8%
Win probability
Colchester United
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Oldham Athletic AFC
+4%
-12%
Colchester United

ELO progression

Oldham Athletic AFC
Colchester United
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Oldham Athletic AFC
Oldham Athletic AFC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Feb. 2002
OLD
Oldham Athletic AFC
3 - 2
Brentford
BRE
49%
25%
26%
60 61 1 0
23 Feb. 2002
POS
Peterborough United
2 - 2
Oldham Athletic AFC
OLD
49%
24%
27%
60 57 3 0
19 Feb. 2002
OLD
Oldham Athletic AFC
1 - 1
Tranmere Rovers
TRA
42%
26%
32%
60 66 6 0
16 Feb. 2002
BRI
Bristol City
3 - 0
Oldham Athletic AFC
OLD
55%
24%
22%
61 63 2 -1
09 Feb. 2002
OLD
Oldham Athletic AFC
2 - 0
Brighton & Hove Albion
BHA
47%
26%
27%
60 65 5 +1

Matches

Colchester United
Colchester United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Feb. 2002
NOT
Notts County
1 - 1
Colchester United
COL
39%
26%
35%
55 49 6 0
23 Feb. 2002
COL
Colchester United
0 - 0
Bristol City
BRI
37%
26%
37%
55 64 9 0
16 Feb. 2002
COL
Colchester United
1 - 1
Blackpool
BPO
48%
25%
27%
55 58 3 0
09 Feb. 2002
CAM
Cambridge United
1 - 2
Colchester United
COL
38%
26%
36%
55 49 6 0
02 Feb. 2002
COL
Colchester United
1 - 1
Brentford
BRE
42%
25%
33%
54 60 6 +1