Oldham Athletic AFC vs Chesterfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.6%
Win probability
3.39
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.3%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.9%
5-0
6.1%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.1%
4-0
9%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.4%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.7%
8.9%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
4%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
8.9%
4.5%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1908 |
BPO
1 - 0
OLD
41%
25%
34%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1908 |
OLD
1 - 1
DER
55%
21%
25%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1908 |
GLO
0 - 0
OLD
43%
24%
33%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | -2 |
| 21 Apr. 1908 |
OLD
1 - 1
LEI
56%
20%
24%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1908 |
WOL
2 - 1
OLD
53%
21%
26%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Chesterfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1908 |
CHE
1 - 1
WOL
25%
24%
51%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1908 |
BRA
1 - 0
CHE
72%
16%
12%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1908 |
BUR
0 - 1
CHE
83%
11%
6%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1908 |
GRI
4 - 3
CHE
69%
18%
13%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 1908 |
BPO
2 - 0
CHE
68%
18%
14%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |