Oldham Athletic AFC vs Carlisle United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.8%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
28.8%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
BOL
1 - 2
OLD
31%
25%
44%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
OLD
2 - 3
MOR
55%
23%
22%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2020 |
OLD
2 - 0
DON
20%
21%
59%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
COL
3 - 3
OLD
58%
23%
19%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
OLD
2 - 3
CRA
43%
26%
32%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
CUM
3 - 2
COL
38%
27%
36%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
POR
0 - 1
CUM
60%
22%
18%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | +2 |
| 06 Oct. 2020 |
SUN
5 - 3
CUM
71%
18%
11%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
CUM
1 - 0
BAR
40%
26%
34%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
SCU
1 - 0
CUM
47%
25%
28%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |