Old Road vs Pigotts Bullets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.6%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
24.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Old Road
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2012 |
HOP
1 - 2
ORO
51%
22%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2012 |
SEA
1 - 2
ORO
45%
24%
32%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2011 |
ORO
1 - 0
BAS
54%
21%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2011 |
PAR
3 - 1
ORO
49%
23%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2011 |
ALL
1 - 4
ORO
51%
22%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Pigotts Bullets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2012 |
ALL
3 - 0
PBU
52%
22%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2012 |
PBU
2 - 1
BAS
47%
23%
30%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 2012 |
WIL
3 - 1
PBU
43%
24%
33%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 2011 |
PBU
3 - 2
SAP
44%
23%
33%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
ALL
6 - 1
PBU
53%
22%
25%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |