Old Road vs Grenades analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
28.1%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+51%
+129%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Old Road
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
ORO
1 - 2
ALL
51%
20%
29%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
ORO
4 - 2
VLI
54%
20%
26%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
SWE
1 - 2
ORO
30%
21%
49%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
HOP
1 - 4
ORO
49%
21%
30%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2024 |
OTT
1 - 2
ORO
42%
21%
37%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Grenades
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2024 |
SAP
0 - 5
GRE
44%
22%
35%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2024 |
SWE
1 - 5
GRE
30%
22%
48%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
GRE
2 - 1
JHF
84%
10%
6%
|
28 | 13 | 15 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2024 |
GRE
1 - 0
GRC
90%
7%
3%
|
29 | 5 | 24 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 2024 |
GRE
4 - 1
PBU
62%
20%
19%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |