Old Road vs Garden Stars analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.6%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.2%
17.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+431%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Old Road
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
ORO
4 - 2
ATS
86%
9%
5%
|
30 | 11 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
ORO
3 - 0
FIV
82%
12%
7%
|
29 | 18 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2025 |
GRE
2 - 1
ORO
50%
21%
29%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
ORO
5 - 2
ATS
85%
10%
5%
|
30 | 11 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
ORO
4 - 1
AST
81%
11%
7%
|
30 | 16 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Garden Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2025 |
GSF
4 - 0
ATS
78%
13%
8%
|
23 | 11 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
GSF
1 - 1
WIL
49%
21%
30%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2025 |
FIV
2 - 4
GSF
41%
22%
37%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Dec. 2024 |
GSF
2 - 2
PTI
55%
20%
24%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
GSF
1 - 1
ORO
23%
20%
57%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | 0 |