Olaria vs Petrópolis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
36.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
MAC
0 - 2
OLA
21%
24%
55%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
OLA
1 - 1
AFC
48%
26%
26%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2023 |
OLA
0 - 0
RES
36%
27%
37%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
SAM
1 - 0
OLA
38%
25%
37%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
OLA
2 - 0
FRI
69%
20%
11%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Petrópolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2023 |
PET
1 - 0
RES
39%
27%
34%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
SAM
1 - 0
PET
39%
25%
36%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Jul. 2023 |
PET
2 - 1
FRI
71%
19%
10%
|
50 | 34 | 16 | +1 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
CMA
1 - 2
PET
33%
25%
42%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
PET
1 - 0
CAB
54%
24%
22%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |