Olaria vs Bangu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
36%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2013 |
FLU
3 - 1
OLA
85%
11%
4%
|
53 | 86 | 33 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
OLA
0 - 0
AUD
52%
25%
23%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
FLU
5 - 1
OLA
84%
12%
4%
|
54 | 83 | 29 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
OLA
0 - 0
DUQ
45%
26%
29%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
BOA
1 - 2
OLA
60%
21%
20%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Bangu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2013 |
BAN
0 - 0
BOT
11%
20%
70%
|
53 | 82 | 29 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
FRI
2 - 1
BAN
38%
25%
37%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
BAN
2 - 4
BOT
12%
21%
67%
|
54 | 82 | 28 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
RES
0 - 3
BAN
56%
22%
22%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
BAN
1 - 0
MAC
29%
25%
46%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | +2 |