Oita Trinita vs Cerezo Osaka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
7%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
54%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oita Trinita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
OIT
0 - 1
MAT
45%
27%
29%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
KAA
1 - 2
OIT
70%
20%
11%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
OIT
3 - 5
ZWE
50%
23%
27%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
MON
1 - 1
OIT
37%
26%
37%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
OIT
2 - 1
ZWE
53%
24%
23%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Cerezo Osaka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
NAG
2 - 0
CER
20%
23%
56%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2019 |
CER
1 - 0
VIS
63%
21%
15%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
REN
1 - 0
CER
14%
21%
65%
|
84 | 56 | 28 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
FCY
1 - 2
CER
39%
25%
37%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
CER
0 - 3
KAR
67%
20%
13%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |