Oiense vs SD Castelo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.1%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
15.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oiense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
GOI
2 - 2
OIE
39%
21%
41%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2023 |
OIE
0 - 1
GUI
68%
18%
15%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
OIE
2 - 2
TEB
42%
22%
37%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
RAC
3 - 2
OIE
42%
21%
38%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
OIE
3 - 0
MOS
48%
22%
30%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
SD Castelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
OLI
2 - 3
SDC
35%
23%
42%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2023 |
SDC
2 - 3
GOI
41%
21%
38%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
GUI
0 - 1
SDC
63%
19%
17%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
TEB
4 - 2
SDC
75%
14%
11%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
SDC
1 - 3
RAC
34%
21%
45%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | -1 |