Ohio State vs Penn State analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.8%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
66.4%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
12.9%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.7%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ohio State
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
IDH
3 - 0
OSE
81%
13%
6%
|
18 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
NOR
1 - 0
OSE
25%
22%
53%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2021 |
OSE
1 - 2
MLT
42%
22%
36%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
PSN
3 - 1
OSE
79%
13%
8%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
OSE
0 - 1
MSS
62%
19%
19%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Penn State
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
PSN
2 - 1
MGW
72%
16%
12%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2021 |
RSK
0 - 2
PSN
21%
21%
58%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2021 |
MSS
0 - 1
PSN
14%
18%
68%
|
32 | 17 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2021 |
PSN
2 - 1
NOR
86%
9%
4%
|
32 | 15 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2021 |
PSN
2 - 3
GTH
26%
22%
51%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | -1 |