OFK Beograd vs Novi Pazar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.2%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
16.3%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
OFK Beograd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
ČUK
1 - 0
BEO
38%
29%
33%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
BEO
1 - 1
FKS
55%
25%
20%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
VOZ
1 - 0
BEO
27%
29%
44%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
FKD
1 - 1
BEO
31%
29%
40%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2013 |
SLO
0 - 2
BEO
51%
24%
25%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Novi Pazar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
NPA
2 - 1
SLO
38%
29%
34%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
RAD
1 - 0
NPA
44%
27%
28%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
NPA
0 - 0
PAR
16%
24%
60%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
NPA
1 - 0
RAD
41%
28%
31%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
2 - 0
NPA
52%
27%
22%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |