Offenburger FV vs Illertissen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.1%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.9%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.1%
67.8%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
13.5%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.9%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.5%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-74%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Offenburger FV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
BAH
3 - 0
OFF
86%
10%
4%
|
10 | 26 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
OFF
0 - 1
AST
11%
19%
70%
|
10 | 30 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
ASV
1 - 2
OFF
88%
9%
4%
|
9 | 26 | 17 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
VIL
1 - 0
OFF
88%
9%
4%
|
9 | 40 | 31 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
OFF
1 - 2
VFR
15%
21%
64%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Illertissen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
ILL
5 - 1
CRA
30%
23%
47%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
STU
3 - 1
ILL
39%
24%
37%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
ILL
4 - 2
AUI
82%
13%
6%
|
31 | 10 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
ILL
1 - 1
AST
49%
23%
28%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
FRE
1 - 1
ILL
50%
23%
27%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |