Oeste vs São Caetano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
7%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
47.2%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
OES
0 - 0
JEC
42%
28%
30%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
ECS
3 - 1
OES
42%
28%
30%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
OPE
1 - 0
OES
37%
29%
34%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2010 |
OES
0 - 0
OPE
56%
25%
19%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2010 |
OES
1 - 0
ECS
49%
26%
25%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
VIL
2 - 1
SAO
37%
26%
37%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
SAO
1 - 0
DUQ
58%
24%
19%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
SAO
0 - 0
AMF
51%
26%
23%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2010 |
PAR
1 - 0
SAO
41%
28%
31%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
SAO
2 - 1
SPO
32%
27%
41%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | +1 |