Odd II vs Vard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.7%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
52.8%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
8%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-49%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Odd II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2010 |
FRA
1 - 1
ODD
66%
18%
16%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
FFL
3 - 1
ODD
37%
24%
39%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2007 |
ODD
1 - 1
FFK
48%
22%
30%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2007 |
SAR
3 - 1
ODD
46%
24%
31%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -2 |
| 08 Oct. 2007 |
ODD
1 - 1
ULL
52%
22%
25%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Vard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
VAR
1 - 2
63%
19%
19%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
VAR
3 - 3
NES
81%
12%
7%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
RAN
1 - 2
VAR
59%
21%
20%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
VAR
4 - 0
FFK
77%
14%
10%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
ASA
3 - 1
VAR
32%
24%
44%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | -1 |