Obregon vs Venados FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.6%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
37.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Obregon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2005 |
LEO
1 - 1
OBR
76%
15%
9%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2005 |
OBR
1 - 3
TIG
47%
25%
28%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2005 |
CHI
1 - 1
OBR
40%
26%
34%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2005 |
OBR
1 - 1
DUR
53%
24%
23%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
CAO
2 - 0
OBR
60%
22%
19%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Venados FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2005 |
MER
2 - 3
TOR
54%
23%
23%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2005 |
SNL
2 - 1
MER
65%
19%
16%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2005 |
MER
1 - 1
COB
51%
24%
25%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2005 |
GUE
3 - 0
MER
31%
25%
44%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2005 |
MER
3 - 2
QRO
41%
25%
34%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |