Oberneuland vs Leher TS Bremerhaven analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.5%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.1%
12.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
+35%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
69
1º
5º
1º
28
11º
16º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
69 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 63 |
3º
|
58% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 63 |
4º
|
58% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 44 |
7º
|
82% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 40 |
8º
|
67.5% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 38 |
9º
|
69.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
84% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
11º
|
34.5% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
34.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 20 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oberneuland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
BRI
0 - 3
OBE
85%
10%
6%
|
22 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
OBE
1 - 4
HAN
23%
23%
55%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
OBE
0 - 4
DRO
20%
22%
58%
|
24 | 43 | 19 | -2 |
| 25 May. 2022 |
ALT
3 - 2
OBE
34%
22%
44%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
OBE
3 - 1
HEI
56%
20%
25%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Leher TS Bremerhaven
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
LEH
1 - 2
SGA
45%
22%
33%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2022 |
LEH
0 - 3
UNI
36%
22%
42%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2022 |
WER
2 - 3
LEH
26%
21%
53%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
LEH
0 - 3
OSC
29%
21%
50%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2022 |
BRE
3 - 0
LEH
91%
7%
2%
|
20 | 47 | 27 | 0 |