Oberlausitz Neugersdorf vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.3%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
43.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oberlausitz Neugersdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
BFC
2 - 1
OBE
47%
24%
29%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
OBE
1 - 1
BAB
27%
25%
48%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
UNI
0 - 3
OBE
44%
23%
33%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
OBE
2 - 1
BIS
24%
25%
52%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2018 |
VIK
2 - 0
OBE
49%
24%
27%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
ERF
3 - 3
HER
48%
24%
29%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
WAC
0 - 0
ERF
58%
22%
20%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
ERF
5 - 0
OPT
76%
15%
9%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2018 |
LOK
1 - 1
ERF
36%
26%
38%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
ERF
1 - 0
BUD
72%
18%
11%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | -1 |