Oberena vs Murchante analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.2%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
26.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-48%
-70%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oberena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
HUA
1 - 0
OBE
49%
25%
27%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
OBE
3 - 0
CDA
58%
22%
20%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
IZA
3 - 1
OBE
69%
19%
12%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
OBE
2 - 4
LOU
46%
26%
29%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2008 |
MEN
1 - 2
OBE
26%
24%
50%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Murchante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
MUR
1 - 2
IZA
24%
26%
50%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
LOU
1 - 1
MUR
53%
24%
23%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
MUR
1 - 0
MEN
68%
19%
13%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
RIV
1 - 1
MUR
49%
26%
25%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
MUR
3 - 0
PEN
56%
23%
21%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |