Oberena vs CD Alfaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.2%
18.9%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oberena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1999 |
IZA
5 - 0
OBE
68%
20%
12%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1999 |
OBE
2 - 0
TUD
32%
28%
40%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 1999 |
OBE
0 - 0
AOI
56%
25%
19%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1999 |
PEÑ
5 - 0
OBE
74%
17%
9%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1999 |
OBE
1 - 1
BUR
42%
29%
30%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
CD Alfaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1999 |
ALF
1 - 1
AOI
58%
24%
18%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1999 |
PEÑ
2 - 0
ALF
78%
16%
7%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1999 |
ALF
1 - 1
BUR
39%
29%
32%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1999 |
VAL
1 - 1
ALF
62%
22%
16%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1999 |
ALF
0 - 0
CHA
34%
28%
39%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |