Obercorn vs Koeppchen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.1%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
13.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Obercorn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
CBG
2 - 2
OBE
18%
20%
62%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
OBE
2 - 0
URE
61%
20%
20%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
SAN
2 - 0
OBE
19%
20%
61%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | -2 |
| 20 Nov. 2013 |
OBE
3 - 1
BWI
57%
22%
21%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
BER
2 - 1
OBE
42%
23%
35%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Koeppchen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2014 |
KOE
2 - 2
BWI
46%
23%
31%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
BER
2 - 2
KOE
54%
21%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
KOE
0 - 4
ESC
28%
23%
49%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | -2 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
MON
3 - 0
KOE
71%
17%
12%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
KOE
1 - 2
LUN
54%
21%
25%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -1 |