Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Cimarrones de Sonora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
41%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
ALE
3 - 3
MOR
33%
27%
40%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
DOR
1 - 3
ALE
36%
26%
38%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2024 |
ALE
1 - 0
TEM
49%
25%
27%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
CAP
2 - 1
ALE
50%
25%
25%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2024 |
ALE
1 - 1
TIA
56%
24%
21%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Cimarrones de Sonora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
CIM
2 - 1
CAP
45%
26%
29%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2024 |
UAT
0 - 2
CIM
38%
26%
36%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2024 |
CIM
0 - 1
TOR
35%
29%
36%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
MER
0 - 0
CIM
44%
26%
30%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2024 |
CIM
2 - 2
ZAC
41%
26%
33%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |