Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Celaya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.7%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
16.2%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2014 |
ALE
1 - 0
JAG
51%
22%
26%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
MER
3 - 3
ALE
39%
29%
33%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2014 |
JAG
2 - 4
ALE
69%
17%
14%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
ALE
1 - 3
EST
57%
24%
19%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2014 |
AUR
1 - 2
ALE
44%
28%
29%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Celaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2014 |
QRO
0 - 1
TOR
63%
21%
16%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
TOR
1 - 1
UDG
41%
27%
33%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2014 |
TOR
1 - 3
QRO
31%
26%
44%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
DEL
2 - 3
TOR
44%
26%
30%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
TOR
2 - 1
UAT
31%
27%
42%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | +1 |