Australia Cup Play-Offs Semi-finals

Oakleigh Cannons vs Macarthur FC analysis

Oakleigh Cannons Macarthur FC
44 ELO 69
13% Tilt 0.1%
4520º General ELO ranking 1511º
22º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
8.5%
Oakleigh Cannons
13.7%
Draw
77.8%
Macarthur FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.5%
Win probability
Oakleigh Cannons
0.82
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.9%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.1%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.7%
77.8%
Win probability
Macarthur FC
2.75
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.8%
1-4
5.5%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
16.7%
0-4
6.7%
1-5
3%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
10.4%
0-5
3.7%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.3%
0-6
1.7%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.3%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Oakleigh Cannons
+12%
-13%
Macarthur FC

ELO progression

Oakleigh Cannons
Macarthur FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Oakleigh Cannons
Oakleigh Cannons
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Sep. 2022
SOU
South Melbourne
0 - 5
Oakleigh Cannons
OAK
36%
26%
38%
43 39 4 0
03 Sep. 2022
POR
Port Melbourne Sharks
1 - 2
Oakleigh Cannons
OAK
32%
26%
42%
42 38 4 +1
31 Aug. 2022
OAK
Oakleigh Cannons
2 - 1
Sydney FC
SYD
9%
16%
75%
41 69 28 +1
26 Aug. 2022
OAK
Oakleigh Cannons
4 - 3
Heidelberg Utd
HEU
70%
18%
12%
41 32 9 0
21 Aug. 2022
OAK
Oakleigh Cannons
0 - 1
Hume City FC
HUM
83%
11%
6%
42 26 16 -1

Matches

Macarthur FC
Macarthur FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
31 Aug. 2022
MFC
Macarthur FC
2 - 0
Wellington Phoenix
WPH
45%
22%
33%
67 69 2 0
10 Aug. 2022
MOD
Modbury Jets
0 - 4
Macarthur FC
MFC
5%
10%
85%
67 16 51 0
30 Jul. 2022
MAG
Magpies Crusaders FC
0 - 6
Macarthur FC
MFC
5%
10%
85%
67 8 59 0
08 May. 2022
MFC
Macarthur FC
1 - 1
Western Sydney Wanderers
WES
46%
25%
29%
67 67 0 0
01 May. 2022
MFC
Macarthur FC
0 - 3
Newcastle Jets
NEW
52%
25%
23%
69 66 3 -2
X