O'Higgins vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
23.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
O'Higgins
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2009 |
CSD
2 - 0
OHI
44%
26%
30%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2009 |
OHI
0 - 1
PAL
63%
21%
17%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2009 |
OHI
2 - 0
CSL
60%
22%
18%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 2009 |
UNI
6 - 1
OHI
55%
22%
23%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -2 |
| 14 Jun. 2009 |
OHI
1 - 1
UNI
49%
23%
28%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2009 |
UCO
1 - 3
COL
40%
25%
35%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2009 |
EVE
0 - 1
UCO
53%
24%
23%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2009 |
UCO
2 - 4
HUA
41%
25%
34%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
UCO
0 - 2
UCO
39%
26%
34%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -2 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
NUB
2 - 3
UCO
41%
26%
33%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |