O'Higgins vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.3%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
21.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
O'Higgins
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2008 |
OHI
1 - 2
UCH
41%
25%
34%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2008 |
UCH
4 - 2
OHI
55%
24%
22%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
HUA
0 - 1
OHI
56%
24%
21%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2008 |
OHI
3 - 1
UCH
42%
26%
33%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
UNI
1 - 1
OHI
37%
27%
35%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2008 |
CDM
3 - 1
UCO
34%
25%
41%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2008 |
UCO
3 - 1
CSL
47%
27%
27%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
UCO
1 - 2
CSD
54%
25%
21%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
NUB
3 - 1
UCO
50%
25%
25%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
UCO
2 - 0
UCO
61%
22%
17%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | -1 |