O'Higgins vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.4%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.4%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.7%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.5%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
13.2%
6.4%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
O'Higgins
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2002 |
OHI
1 - 2
CDP
72%
17%
12%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2002 |
NTA
5 - 0
OHI
26%
25%
49%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2002 |
LOT
2 - 4
OHI
35%
26%
39%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2002 |
OHI
2 - 1
77%
15%
9%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2002 |
OHI
0 - 1
PUE
62%
20%
18%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2002 |
0 - 1
UCO
50%
26%
25%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2002 |
UCO
1 - 0
PUE
27%
25%
49%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | +2 |
| 16 Mar. 2002 |
CDM
1 - 0
UCO
41%
28%
32%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2002 |
UCO
3 - 0
LOT
38%
26%
37%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | +3 |
| 02 Mar. 2002 |
UCO
6 - 2
CDP
38%
25%
37%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +2 |