Apertura Finals Quarter-finals
Global 4-2
O'Higgins vs Unión La Calera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.5%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
21%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
O'Higgins
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2012 |
ULC
0 - 1
OHI
40%
27%
33%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
CSL
1 - 0
OHI
35%
26%
39%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
OHI
3 - 1
ACS
43%
24%
33%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
OHI
2 - 2
CSD
78%
15%
7%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
SWA
0 - 1
OHI
45%
26%
30%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Unión La Calera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2012 |
ULC
0 - 1
OHI
40%
27%
33%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
ULC
2 - 1
SWA
36%
27%
37%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
HUA
1 - 2
ULC
54%
24%
22%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
ULC
3 - 0
DLS
36%
27%
38%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2012 |
ULC
1 - 1
ACS
30%
26%
45%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |