Nyamityobora vs Mbarara City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
32.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nyamityobora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
VIP
1 - 0
NFC
68%
20%
12%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2018 |
NFC
2 - 3
BRI
45%
26%
29%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2018 |
OND
2 - 0
NFC
53%
25%
22%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2018 |
BUL
1 - 0
NFC
21%
23%
56%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
PLL
0 - 5
NFC
7%
13%
80%
|
45 | 7 | 38 | +1 |
Matches
Mbarara City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
MCF
2 - 0
MFC
62%
22%
17%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
MCF
3 - 1
EXP
49%
24%
26%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2018 |
NUF
1 - 0
MCF
51%
24%
25%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2018 |
MCF
1 - 0
OND
47%
25%
28%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +7 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
MCF
1 - 1
PRO
53%
25%
22%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |