Nürnberg II vs Weiden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.7%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
14.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2009 |
WEH
1 - 2
NUR
27%
26%
48%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2009 |
HEI
0 - 3
NUR
56%
24%
20%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2009 |
NUR
1 - 1
REU
64%
20%
16%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
DAR
1 - 1
NUR
31%
26%
43%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
FRA
2 - 2
NUR
40%
26%
34%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Weiden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2009 |
WEI
0 - 1
VFR
25%
25%
51%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2009 |
WEI
1 - 3
BVB
7%
16%
77%
|
45 | 85 | 40 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2009 |
SEL
4 - 3
WEI
17%
22%
61%
|
47 | 29 | 18 | -2 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
WEI
0 - 0
TSG
70%
19%
12%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2009 |
BAY
1 - 4
WEI
25%
25%
50%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | +1 |