Nürnberg II vs VfR Garching analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.4%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.8%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.9%
6%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
NUR
3 - 3
VIK
56%
21%
23%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
SCH
0 - 3
NUR
18%
22%
60%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
NUR
3 - 1
HEI
68%
18%
14%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
SCH
0 - 2
NUR
65%
19%
15%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | +2 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
NUR
1 - 2
RAI
80%
13%
7%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
VfR Garching
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
ILL
3 - 1
VRG
50%
21%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
VRG
0 - 2
AUG
45%
23%
32%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2019 |
BUC
1 - 1
VRG
60%
20%
21%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2019 |
ROS
2 - 1
VRG
40%
22%
38%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | -2 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
VIK
2 - 0
VRG
58%
19%
23%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -1 |